Markets Love The Budget

4 comments Written on February 26th, 2010 by
Categories: Budget2010

Markets went berserk today. They obviously loved the budget, and tripped on Pranab-da’s speech so much they nearly touched the 5,000 mark before rolling back. The Nifty closed at 4922, up 1.3%, which isn’t a lot; but it was up nearly 3% during the day.

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Turnover was amazingly high today, with 116,000 cr. traded in the F&O segment, and 18,000 cr. in cash – both very high values for what is the first day of the next expiry cycle.

Surprise: Foreign Institutional investors bought more than 800 cr. worth of stocks. And Domestic Institutions SOLD more than 800 cr. worth – this is interesting. Who’s going to print the trend?

Given that this is an inflationary budget, it’s surprising that banks went up – but they did. The Bank Nifty was up 2.2% at 8722, and some NBFCs like Reliance Capital and IDFC were up more than 5% on the news they might get banking licences. Fat chance for Reliance – RBI will never let a corporate house own a bank, but don’t let logic stop you. Canara Bank was up 3.25% at 394, whic

Auto stocks went up dramatically largely towards the end, as the FM announced that he’s hiking excise duty for cars back up 2% and taking away the stimulus. It might just have been panic buying, or short covering; only Tuesday will tell us. TataMotors, M&M and Hero Honda  were up more than 5% each, with Maruti close by at 4.73%.

What went down? ITC was down 5.7% and I’m kicking myself for not shorting it right at that cigarette duty increase announcement. Tatapower was off 4.36% too, for reasons I can’t quite fathom. Real estate stocks were flat – they didn’t have much to cheer about. The Tech pack ended weak but not substantially – less than 1% down – due perhaps to the Minimum Alternate Tax announcements.

Disclosure: Am actively trading the market and have positions currently open. I’m not at liberty to disclose directions and stocks at this point.

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About the Author: Deepak Shenoy
http://www.capitalmind.in
The man behind Capital Mind. Deepak is a co-founder at MarketVision, a financial knowledge company in Gurgaon. He also provides data research and consulting services in the financial markets space. Connect with him at deepakshenoy@gmail.com.

4 comments “Markets Love The Budget”

>First up many thanks for the twitter streams, very useful..

Public sector Banks seem to be up coz there is some money set aside for recapitalisation..

"State-run bank shares such as State Bank of India, Andhra Bank, Canara Bank and Bank of India on proposal to provide 165 billion rupees ($3.6 billion) for recapitalisation. The sector index was up 3.3 per cent.
"

From – http://growmoneyindia.blogspot.com/2010/02/union-budget-2010-winners-and-losers.html

>I love your blog

how you find the FDI data?

Do you use any fundamental analysis or technical analysis software? any paid service?

>Why are you not disclosing the direction in which you are playing. Are you afraid that you will be proved wrong again.

>Evolve: It's on the NSE site

Indian: I've got both long AND short positions! But I'm not revealing in which stocks etc. because I haven't finished building my position yet.


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