IIP for Feb 2014 at -1.9%, Worst in 9 Months

Comments Off Written on April 12th, 2014 by
Categories: IIP

Headline Index of Industrial Production fell by 1.9% in Feb 2014, the biggest percentage drop since May 2013.

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At the component level, the culprit was manufacturing which has shown dismal results recently and this time, fell by 3.7% which is the worst it has been since October 2011 (2 years and 4 months earlier ).

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And if you want to look at the use based indexes, the data shows that:

  • Basic goods picked up a bit (+4%)
  • Capital goods fell a LOT (-17%)
  • Consumer durables was nearly -10%
  • Consumer non-durables was at -1.2%, lowest since November 2010

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(Click for larger pic)

Luckily this might be revised upwards. The January IIP figure, which was at 0.11%, was revised up to +0.77%.

Sector wise, the biggest falls are seen in Communication (-34%), Electrical Machinery (-25%) and Garments (-21%).

While markets continue to be on a high, the point remains that growth in manufacturing sucks. A key issue is consumer non-durables - like the FMCG sector, which usually sees great growth in inflationary times. Garments, too, is a surprising addition - apparel has been one of the strongest drivers of IIP in the last six months.

Is that period now over? The data on IIP tell us they’re producing less - will this mean their sales drop too? Let’s wait for results to tell us more.

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The man behind Capital Mind. Deepak is a co-founder at MarketVision, a financial knowledge company. Deepak also provides data research and consulting services, and now lives in Bangalore. Connect with him at deepakshenoy@gmail.com.