RealEstate

A 5 year home loan at 5.99%

No Comments » Written on December 20th, 2011 by
Categories: HomeLoans, RealEstate

Builders are having it tough, but a certain one, BPTP in the NCR region is offering a tie up with HDFC to give home loans at 5.99%.

"BPTP...today announced a partnership with HDFC to offer home loans at just 5.99 per cent per annum. This is part of a limited period special offer, designed to make home loans affordable to consumers," the real estate firm said in a statement.

Compared to prevailing interest rates for home loans, this scheme, valid between December 18 and December 31, will offer almost 40 per cent reductions in the EMIs for the first five years, it added.

Don’t be fooled. The loan is at 11-14%, which is HDFC’s rate. The lower rate is most likely because the builder is paying the difference, since the builder can’t get a loan at any rate (banks are maxed on their real estate exposure to builders).

The “new” house is unlikely to be ready for five years, so the builder gets the money while you pay 6% a year. Given how builders operate, it is entirely likely that the money received has already been spent (it’s a book entry to move the loan from them to you), so it’s on faith that you hope the house is ready on time, or within the five year period.

Obviously if the builder defaults, the loan onus is on you – for the remaining principal even if you don’t get the house because the builder is bust. And also for the excess interest, if the fine print dictates so.

If the “teaser” rate is being financed by the builder, it makes a lot of sense to understand the financials of the builder, and figure out what you can do to avert the threat of default. If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.

FDI in Retail Approved, More Bark Than Bite

8 comments Written on November 25th, 2011 by
Categories: PANTALOONR, RealEstate

The cabinet has approved Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Retail.

  • 51% in multi-brand retail (think Walmart, Tesco)
  • 100% in single-brand retail (like a Nike)
  • $100 million minimum investment, of which 50% must be in back-end
  • 30% of sourcing from SMEs in India
  • Only in towns with over 1 million population

This has pushed retail stocks up – Pantaloon Retail, for instance, is up 16% to 233. Even real estate stocks are up on the hope that if foreign players come, they might rent some of that massive amounts of vacant commercial real estate that is their nemesis.

FDI in retail was always something considered unacceptable as it would drive away the small trader and kirana shop. The Indian chains – from Hypercity to Big Bazaar to Easy Day (Bharti/Walmart) – have started to kick in and will eventually the competition will hurt.

Near my house an Easy Day has started up which has all but killed local businesses, who it must be said were both overcharging and giving really stale goods.

In my view, that inefficient small merchant must go out of business, as the cart puller did when taxis came, and as PCOs did when mobiles came around. Better and more efficient technology is better for us as a whole – in fact, even my neighbourhood merchants admit that they source from Easy Day now. It’s obviously much better for the rest of us that see about 20% reduction in our bills.

The problem still remains infrastructure, the APMC monopolies and a wonky tax system. WIth much of the foreign players’ efficiency based on good road or rail transport, it’s hard to see them replicate their model in India without major changes. The inter-state taxes – much of which will only get streamlined once GST comes in place – delay progress and cause unnecessary round tripping for tax avoidance. Finally, sourcing of agricultural products will need on-the-ground presence, which is a long drawn affair – ask ITC how long it has taken them to establish good direct-from-farmer sourcing deals.

Other factors are that India is a horrendous nation for decision making. Going by the recent past, it’s entirely likely that in a couple of years, the government “reverses” the decision to please some vote-bank. Who the heck will want to invest in such a situation?

Lastly, Europe has been the world’s financier for a while, and they are in some doo-doo right now. Investment plans will have to factor in a change in the world financial system.

I expect that many big players will make noises about India being part of their plans, but not much more. Meanwhile, the stocks that go up are probably going to see positive news for a while, so they may be worth a trade.

GPA is not Title: Supreme Court

33 comments Written on October 16th, 2011 by
Categories: RealEstate

A recent supreme court verdict is quite significant, in disallowing “General Power Of Attorney” (GPA) as a legitimate way to transfer property title.

Concept: GPA based sales went like this:

  • I own a property that you want
  • You pay me money to buy it from me
  • You don’t intend to keep the property, you want to sell it for a higher price
  • You don’t register a sale deed in your name, because that will involve your paying registration fees and stamp duty (can be 5% to 12% of the property value).
  • Instead, you take a power of attorney in your name, which means that you act as my “attorney” in both selling the property I own and receiving money on my behalf.
  • When you find a buyer, you register the transfer in that person’s name saying that you’re my representative (as my attorney). This time, registration fees will be paid, but for two transactions, fees are paid only once.

The “General” part of the GPA entitles the holder to do anything with the asset. (as opposed to “specific powers of attorney” where you limit the rights of the holder)

The GPA concept was being used in a number of ways:

  1. To avoid high registration fees as described above.
  2. To stash black money or avoid scrutiny. Since you do not need to disclose a GPA as an asset (it isn’t one) people can “own” property without anyone ever getting to know. Plus think of how good this is for politicians or public officials – they have to declare their assets, but since a GPA isn’t an asset….
  3. For land grabbing. Find the owner, make sure he sells to you through a GPA; then sit on the land for years until it appreciates; then sell it. The risk here is that the seller could realize that the GPA means nothing to land authorities, so he might resell the land to someone else without the GPA holder knowing. (This kind of deal is often where mafia and politicians are involved)
  4. For owning agricultural or restricted land: Since many states impose restrictions on who can own property (Himachal Pradesh) or who can own farmland (only “agriculturists” in most states), people use the GPA route to circumvent these laws.

Where are GPAs legitimate?

If you were living abroad and owned a piece of land in India, you’d want someone local to handle the small bits of work – like collecting a cheque, signing the registration deed etc. The idea isn’t to transfer your property to the GPA holder, it’s to enable a transaction.

What did the Supreme Court say?

That GPAs are not valid transfers of ownership. Only registered sale deeds are.

But it’s not with retrospective effect; existing properties that have been purchased from a GPA holder (before October 11, 2011) won’t be affected. Even those who hold a GPA today can “regularize” it by converting it into a sale deed, but they can no longer sell it to a third party.

According to a ToI article:

The verdict is likely to affect a large number of property owners. A senior lawyer who vets sale documents for a leading bank estimated that around 70% of property sales in Delhi take place through GPA and SA.

Apartment owners in societies which have not got a completion certificate will find themselves on a sticky wicket because these flats cannot be converted into freehold. Until now, these properties could be sold through GPA and SA. The new ruling will effectively mean such apartments cannot be sold. Experts also say the verdict will raise the market value of freehold real estate while depressing the price of leasehold properties.

The full order makes for great reading.

What should you do?

Just make sure when you buy a property that the seller had bought it from the previous owner through a sale deed. Make sure you speak to the person whose name is on the sale deed. (Not the person who signed – that is irrelevant)

If you’re buying an apartment, demand the ownership papers of the underlying land also. For under-construction apartments, these will be available – for others, you might need to get the documents from the registrar (I wonder if you can use an RTI request).

Note that you won’t get bank loans for GPA based property sales anymore.

This is a great order that should at some level curb the misdeeds in the realty business. We also need a proper real estate regulator and unambiguous property ownership laws.

Video: Q&A On Noida Property With JagoInvestor

17 comments Written on July 31st, 2011 by
Categories: RealEstate

I'm interviewed by Manish Chauhan at JagoInvestor on the Noida Extension issue. The Supreme Court's verdict to return Shahberi land to villagers has created a larger issue, with farmers from other areas demanding their land back too. Builders are playing truant, buyers are in a panic and the Greater Noida Authority is clueless.  As I had mentioned earlier, SBI had stopped lending in Noida, and banks in general got the jitters .

Read the rest of this entry »

Banks Get the Noida Jitters

5 comments Written on July 25th, 2011 by
Categories: RealEstate

It seems banks are looking to approach RBI for a special dispensation for the money lent to homes in Noida Extension where the supreme court has said that the land should now be given back to farmers.

"We will need the regulator's indulgence on the matter. This is an extraordinary situation necessitated by court rulings," said the chairman and managing director of a public sector bank.

...

Read the rest of this entry »

The Non-Universal Price-To-Income Ratio

5 comments Written on July 20th, 2011 by
Categories: RealEstate
The Non-Universal Price-To-Income Ratio

Often, to figure out if a country is in a real estate bubble, what is measured is a price-to-income ratio. That is, a house price divided by the income of the buyer.

Typical P-I ratios, in 2007 in the US, went from 9.5 in New York to 6.2 in San Diego (and 0.9 in Detroit). The overall price to income index with a base of 1987, was at 1.6 in 2007 which has fallen to less than 1.1 (according to Calculated Risk). Consider that the base of 1987 means the ratio is a multiple of what it was then. (which I don't know)

image

SBI Stops Lending In Noida

No Comments » Written on July 8th, 2011 by
Categories: Loans, RealEstate

After a verdict by the Supreme Court that made some of the Greater Noida land acquisition illegal, SBI and other banks have stopped lending to real estate in the region.

DNA says 6,000 buyers are impacted. Many will move to other projects, yet others will be desperate to get back their money. I wonder how many projects actually started out (so that the banks will be impacted). Banks usually don't lend the first "advance" for a house, that's usually part of the down payment. Only as construction begins and slabs are created, is money released to builders. So if this was barren land, banks shouldn't really be impacted.

Having said that, if this is a precedent to go by, then other farmers in projects that are further downstream in terms of development might go to court and win. That will hurt the system a lot (and it should). The government has no business acquiring land forcibly, regardless of acts. In fact, there shouldn't even be a distinction between agricultural and commercial/residential land. A farmer should be free to sell his land to a developer directly.

In a way this decision is very good; it protects the right to own property. For those thousands who bought in, I feel bad, but that's the risk when you buy a property before it has been constructed.

Chinese Housing Prices Are Down, Indian Are Up

No Comments » Written on June 9th, 2011 by
Categories: RealEstate

From the WSJ: The Great Property Bubble Of China May Be Popping

[CPROP_p1]After years of housing prices gone wild, China's property bubble is starting to deflate.

Residential prices are heading downward in some major cities, damping some undesired real-estate speculation but raising the prospect that the Chinese economy may slow more rapidly than anticipated with profound consequences for global growth.

...

Already, in nine major cities tracked by Rosealea Yao, an analyst at market-research firm Dragonomics, real-estate prices fell 4.9% in April from a year earlier. Last year, prices in those nine cities rose 21.5%; in 2009, the increase was about 10%, as China started to recover from the global economic crisis, with much steeper increases toward the end of that year.

Read the rest of this entry »